Weekend Estimates: 'The Boss' ($23.48M) & 'Batman v Superman' ($23.44M) in Tight Race for First Place; 'Hardcore Henry' ($5.10M) Arrives SoftlyApril 10, 2016 09:42 AM

by Daniel Garris

It was an extremely close race between Universal's The Boss and Warner's Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice for first place this weekend. The Boss is currently estimated to come out ahead with $23.48 million, but with an estimated lead of only $45,000, either film could ultimately end up in first place this weekend.

Regardless of whether or not it ends up in first place this weekend, The Boss outpaced expectations and performed well with its modest price tag in mind. The Melissa McCarthy led R-rated comedy also proved to be critic-proof this weekend. The film's opening weekend performance was 9 percent ahead of the $21.58 million opening weekend of 2014's Tammy (though it should be noted that Tammy's opening weekend take was softened by a Wednesday debut) and 19 percent below the $29.09 million debut of last year's Spy (it should be noted that The Boss had been widely expected to open below Spy). With this weekend's performance of The Boss, McCarthy continues to remain one of the more consistent box office draws in recent years. McCarthy will next appear in Sony's Ghostbusters, which arrives on July 15.

The Boss started out with $8.11 million on Friday (which included an estimated $985,000 from Thursday night shows), increased a healthy 20 percent on Saturday to take in $9.73 million and is estimated to decline 42 percent on Sunday to gross $5.64 million. That gave the film an estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio of 2.90 to 1. The Boss skewed heavily toward female moviegoers (67 percent) and slightly towards moviegoers under the age of 35 (51 percent). Audience reception to The Boss appears to be lackluster as the film received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and current has a Flixster audience score of just 50 percent. With that in mind, it's quite possible that The Boss won't hold up as well going forward as McCarthy's previous hits have. On the other hand, the film's mentioned strong Saturday hold is an early encouraging sign.

After leading the box office for the past two weeks Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice fell to a close second place this weekend with an estimated $23.44 million. The blockbuster 3D superhero film starring Ben Affleck and Henry Cavill continued to fall off sharply, as the film was down 54 percent from last weekend. Batman v Superman is now on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 17-day take of $296.69 million. However, as a result of its soft holding power thus far, Batman v Superman is now running just 1 percent ahead of the $294.51 million 17-day take of last year's Furious 7 (which fell 51 percent in its third weekend to gross $29.16 million). With that in mind, Batman v Superman will soon fall behind the pace of Furious 7, especially with Disney's highly anticipated The Jungle Book entering the marketplace this coming Friday.

While Batman v Superman continued to decline sharply this weekend, Disney's Zootopia continued to display strong holding power with an estimated third place take of $14.35 million. The blockbuster 3D computer animated film was down just 26 percent from last weekend. Without taking into account ticket price inflation, Zootopia registered the eighth largest sixth weekend gross of all-time. Zootopia is also on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 38-day take of $296.01 million. The film is now running just 8 percent behind the $320.39 million 38-day take of last year's Inside Out and will continue to make up ground in that comparison going forward. Zootopia already has a current total gross to opening weekend ratio of 3.94 to 1.

Universal's My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 placed in fourth with an estimated $6.42 million. The PG-13 rated comedy sequel starring and written by Nia Vardalos was down 43 percent, as the film took a hit from the debut The Boss this weekend. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 continues to perform towards the higher end of expectations with a 17-day take of $46.75 million. That places the film 6 percent behind the $49.59 million 17-day gross of last year's The Intern (which fell just 26 percent in its third weekend to take in $8.68 million). My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 will hope to re-stabilize next weekend with the debut of The Boss behind it.

Hardcore Henry rounded out the weekend's top five with an estimated $5.10 million. The low-budget action film from STX Entertainment opened below pre-release expectations and delivered a lackluster per-location average of $1,690 from just 3,015 locations. The trailer for Hardcore Henry had gone over well, especially online, but that reception ultimately failed to get moviegoers to see the film this weekend. Hardcore Henry delivered the lowest debut for STX Entertainment to date in the distributor's young history. The film opened with $2.01 million on Friday (which included an estimated $380,000 from Thursday night shows), declined a concerning 7 percent on Saturday to gross $1.87 million and is estimated to slide 35 percent on Sunday to take in $1.22 million. That places the film's estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at a fairly front-loaded 2.54 to 1. Much like The Boss, Hardcore Henry doesn't appear to be going over all that well with moviegoers. Hardcore Henry also received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and has a respectable current Flixster audience score of 66 percent.

Faith-based films Miracles from Heaven and God's Not Dead 2 claimed sixth and seventh place with respective estimated takes of $4.80 million and $4.05 million. Sony's Miracles from Heaven was down a very solid 34 percent this weekend, while God's Not Dead 2 was down a sizable 47 percent. Miracles from Heaven passed the $50 million mark this weekend and continues to perform nicely with $53.81 million in 26 days. God's Not Dead 2 has been far less impressive with $13.84 million in ten days and clearly isn't duplicating the word of mouth or the performance of its predecessor, 2014's God's Not Dead, which grossed $21.75 million in its first ten days after falling just 4.5 percent in its second weekend to take in $8.80 million.

Weekend Actuals (Domestic) Fri, Nov. 18 - Sun, Nov. 20

Wide (1000+)

1Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them$74,403,387--4,144--$17,954$74,403,3871Warner Bros.
2Doctor Strange$17,761,060-59%3,694-188$4,808$181,627,9373Disney
3Trolls$17,448,673-50%3,945-121$4,423$116,163,2063Fox / DreamWorks Animation
5Almost Christmas$7,256,950-52%2,3793$3,050$25,637,6902Universal
6Hacksaw Ridge$6,666,920-37%2,883-88$2,312$42,771,2123Lionsgate
7The Edge of Seventeen$4,754,215--1,945--$2,444$4,754,2151STX Entertainment
8Bleed for This$2,366,810--1,549--$1,528$2,366,8101Open Road
9The Accountant$2,156,421-51%1,423-919$1,515$81,293,4396Warner Bros.
10Shut In$1,605,648-56%2,006-52$800$6,042,2932EuropaCorp Films
11Tyler Perry’s Boo! A Madea Halloween$1,141,538-68%1,171-933$975$72,134,3595Lionsgate
12Jack Reacher: Never Go Back$988,286-70%1,110-1474$890$56,657,4715Paramount
13Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk$901,062690%1,1761174$766$1,057,6732Sony / TriStar

Limited (100 — 999)

1Moonlight (2016)$1,488,74018%650474$2,290$6,644,7905A24
3Inferno$664,301-80%770-1886$863$33,397,7744Sony / Columbia
4The Girl on the Train (2016)$588,440-64%492-516$1,196$74,469,5457Universal
5Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children$375,818-69%464-491$810$85,763,4598Fox
6Ouija: Origin of Evil$303,855-82%381-1157$798$34,904,8855Universal
7A Man Called Ove$243,394-34%165-28$1,475$2,810,6328Music Box Films
8The Secret Life of Pets$232,395-25%214-7$1,086$367,505,37520Universal
9The Magnificent Seven (2016)$192,573-10%235-3$819$92,900,3779Sony / Columbia
10Storks$191,718-60%222-206$864$71,012,2539Warner Bros.
11Keeping Up with the Joneses$176,147-68%216-294$815$14,621,4395Fox
12Sully$160,124-53%203-100$789$124,107,36111Warner Bros.
13Middle School: The Worst Years of My Life$153,737-43%207-19$743$19,761,9107CBS Films / Lionsgate
14Chaar Sahibzaade 2 - Rise of Banda Singh Bahadur$143,705-53%1030$1,395$555,0152Eros Entertainment
15Deepwater Horizon$139,876-64%201-189$696$60,841,5378Lionsgate / Summit
16The Handmaiden$136,250-38%103-20$1,323$1,471,3675Magnolia Pictures
17Pete's Dragon (2016)$124,448-39%162-17$768$75,958,95315Disney
18Finding Dory$75,081-50%121-19$621$486,188,49723Disney
19The Take$41,546--100--$415$41,5461High Top Releasing

Platform (1 — 99)

1Nocturnal Animals$492,648--37--$13,315$492,6481Focus
2Manchester By the Sea$256,498--4--$64,125$256,4981Roadside / Amazon
3The Eagle Huntress$182,072-5%398$4,669$542,1133Sony Pictures Classics
4I Am Not Madame Bovary$181,552--38--$4,778$181,5521Well Go USA Entertainment
5Elle (2016)$126,452148%2422$5,269$212,5382Sony Pictures Classics
6A Beautiful Planet$75,109-1%30-1$2,504$7,437,58130IMAX
7Denial$73,872-52%84-37$879$3,975,4708Bleeker Street
8Ae Dil Hai Mushkil$70,388-73%53-110$1,328$4,237,7414FIP
9Kubo and the Two Strings$50,036-46%88-19$569$47,969,81814Focus
10Queen of Katwe$47,843-57%81-37$591$8,696,3419Disney
11The Love Witch$37,607--2--$18,804$64,2692Oscilloscope Pictures
12The Dressmaker$35,311-22%38-2$929$1,955,1549Broad Green Pictures
13Harry & Snowman$34,0857%249$1,420$478,0958FilmRise
14Kevin Hart: What Now?$30,995-82%62-134$500$23,564,6306Universal
15Gimme Danger$23,704-64%32-35$741$370,7984Magnolia Pictures / Amazon Studios
16The Birth of a Nation (2016)$23,507-74%44-63$534$15,827,2797Fox Searchlight
17Best Worst Thing That Ever Could Have Happened$23,490--2--$11,745$23,4901Abramorama
18The Beatles: Eight Days a Week - The Touring Years$21,99212%12-9$1,833$2,871,62110Abramorama
19Christine (2016)$20,358-38%45-12$452$250,3846The Orchard
20Mr. Donkey$14,654-76%10-17$1,465$344,9034China Lion
21I'm Not Ashamed$12,175-74%22-63$553$2,074,6485Pure Flix
22Don't Breathe$11,523-56%23-24$501$89,071,22213Sony / TriStar
23Aquarius$11,415-59%20-7$571$285,9306Vitagraph Films
24Tampopo$8,69313%42$2,173$99,4585Janus Films
25American Pastoral$7,538-83%20-39$377$533,5085Lionsgate
26Disturbing The Peace$7,333-33%20$3,667$23,6882Abramorama
27Don't Think Twice$6,928-35%5-5$1,386$4,411,19918The Film Arcade
28American Honey$3,993-28%110$363$654,4658A24
29Peter And The Farm$3,20132%60$534$12,7493Magnolia Pictures
30Kiki, Love to Love$3,200-19%32$1,067$7,8742Strand Releasing
31Blood on the Mountain$3,184--2--$1,592$3,1841Abramorama
32No Pay, Nudity$3,161-2%63$527$7,6192Monterey Media
33National Bird$2,981-2%87$373$7,0752FilmRise
34Rock On 2$2,828-97%970$29$101,6962Eros Entertainment
35Operation Mekong$2,367-23%1-4$2,367$799,6078Well Go USA
36Priceless (2016)$2,352-81%4-17$588$1,495,2996Roadside Attractions
37The Wanderers (2016 Re-Release)$1,937-12%43$484$8,9802Kino Lorber
38The Hollars$1,82564%85$228$1,014,00213Sony Pictures Classics
39Fire At Sea$1,742-7%20$871$58,8575
40Little Men (2016)$1,384-59%3-4$461$701,83616Magnolia Pictures
42Cameraperson$1,09570%10$1,095$96,63411Janus Films
43The Monster$1,009-85%3-15$336$12,1332A24
44Hieronymus Bosch: Touched By The Devil$1,002--2--$501$159,01817Kino Lorber
45La Notte$887--2--$444$35,99710Rialto Pictures
46We Are X$842-78%5-7$168$40,6795Drafthouse Films
47Greater$776-79%2-1$388$1,986,55013Hammond Entertainment
48The Tenth Man$683--1--$683$63,20116Kino Lorber
49The Fallen Idol (2016 re-issue)$658--1--$658$57,74526Rialto Pictures
50Officer Downe$470--2--$235$4701Magnolia
51Dark Horse (2016)$392-70%1-1$392$939,93229Sony Pictures Classics
52Closet Monster$190-63%1-1$190$40,1729Strand Releasing